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Development of a Freight Forecasting Model to Forecast Truck Flow Between NJ Counties Themselves and Between NJ counties and Other States: Final Report on Contract Number NCTIP97-21

Report NCTIP 1997-21 Extension. / Abstract: "First, to create a model capable of predicting commodity flow information via trucking in order to assist the appropriate agencies in understanding when and where new roads are needed. The prediction model will be based upon a gravity flow model. The gravity flow model argues that truck traffic between any two points is inversely proportional to the distance between the two points, and otherwise proportional to the population of the two areas and the economic health of the areas. A database of economic and trucking information will be developed for use in predicting truck-based freight flows between Bureau of Economic Affairs (BEA) regions, between NJ and other states, and between counties within the state of New Jersey. Database tools will be developed to make different views of this data accessible to the decision maker. Second, we will create a database, data management, and data forecast analysis system to assist the appropriate agencies in understanding when and where new roads are needed. This prediction model will be based upon the gravity flow model that was found to best predict historic freight flows." / Includes bibliographic

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